Uncertainty & Risk in Natural Hazards
Notification of forthcoming call
The Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) is shortly to launch a new action on the assessment and quantification of uncertainty and risk in natural hazards. The action will consist of a research programme and a Research & Knowledge Exchange Network.
NERC is preparing to invite proposals for a four-year consortium grant in May 2011 that will constitute the Uncertainty & Risk in Natural Hazards research programme.
NERC is expecting that successful bids will include significant engagement with users (and thus potential co-funders) of the research.
It is expected that this action will make a significant contribution to the delivery of NERC's strategy, in particular the NERC natural hazards (NH) theme. It addresses the first two of the major challenges in the NERC NH strategy theme report on:
- Integrated risk assessment & scientific advice; and
- Uncertainty in forecasting & risk assessment.
The action has two science goals:
- to improve the assessment and quantification of uncertainty and risk in NH by developing new methods and demonstrating their applicability to enhance the uptake of NH science; and
- to stimulate good practice guidance and standardisation of uncertainty and risk across the NH community.
The research programme will address the first science goal, while the network will address the second science goal.
This forthcoming action is a follow-on activity to a Scoping study on the Analysis, Propagation & Communication of Probability, Uncertainty & Risk in NH (SAPPUR) carried out by a team of University of Bristol scientists affiliated to the Bristol Environmental Risk Research Centre, on NERC's behalf.
For more information of the SAPPUR scoping study please see the below document:
SAPPUR scoping study summary report (314KB)
Further information is available from:
Blanche Coleman
Tel: 01793 442635