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Exploitation of CMIP5 Capability to Generate Inputs to IPCC AR5

Announcement of funding awards

A new generation of Earth System Modelling integrations are currently being run in preparation for the IPCC 5th Assessment Report (AR5). Outputs will be made publicly available via the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5).

The Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) has funded six short analysis projects (12 months in duration), that will perform innovative multi-model analysis of earth system feedbacks and processes using CMIP5, leading to high-impact science and publications that are likely to be influential in the IPCC AR5 report.

A workshop is planned in spring 2012 to bring together the community working on these projects and selected IPCC Lead Authors. This will aim to develop an overview of results and modelling issues that have been discovered, ensure that IPCC Lead Authors are aware of the scientific advances produced by this initiative and to identify scientific opportunities where the UK can play a leading role in ongoing modelling work, beyond the immediate timescale of the IPCC AR5.

The six research projects focusing on exploiting the new scientific opportunities presented by CMIP5, are:

  • Coupled model errors in the tropical Atlantic in CMIP5 and their impact on the reliability of climate projections. Led by Dr Steven Woolnough, University of Reading.
  • Terrestrial carbon cycle dynamics in CMIP5 last glacial maximum and mid-Holocene climate simulations. Led by Dr Joy Singarayer, University of Bristol.
  • Assessing simulations of Southern Hemisphere tropospheric jet, meridional overturning circulation of the southern ocean and carbon uptake. Led by Dr Emily Shuckburgh, NERC British Antarctic Survey.
  • Comparing atmosphere-land surface feedbacks from models within the tropics (CALM). Led by Dr Richard Allan, University of Reading.
  • Multi-model evaluation of the global marine methane hydrate inventory. Led by Dr Alan Haywood, University of Leeds.
  • Attributing and predicting changes in the probability of climate extremes. Led by Professor Gabriele Hegerl, University of Edinburgh.

For further information please contact:

Amy Vitale
Tel: 01793 442594

Dr Ned Garnett
Tel: 01793 442543

External links